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Probability of Winning a Game

# MOST COMMON GAME WINNER
Game  1:Duke                 1   1 (  1 - 0.994 -  10.93) Southern U.         16 204 (204 - 0.006 -   0.17) 
Game  2:George Washington    8  40 ( 40 - 0.547 -   9.85) NC Wilmington        9  53 ( 53 - 0.453 -   8.60) 
Game  3:Texas A&M           12  42 ( 42 - 0.510 -  11.22) Syracuse             5  46 ( 46 - 0.490 -   7.35) 
Game  4:LSU                  4  11 ( 11 - 0.788 -  11.03) Iona                13  63 ( 63 - 0.212 -   4.89) 
Game  5:West Virginia        6  24 ( 24 - 0.616 -   9.86) Southern Illinois   11  52 ( 52 - 0.384 -   8.06) 
Game  6:Iowa                 3  20 ( 20 - 0.849 -  11.03) Northwestern State  14 107 (107 - 0.151 -   3.63) 
Game  7:NC State            10  21 ( 21 - 0.624 -  12.47) California           7  44 ( 44 - 0.376 -   6.40) 
Game  8:Texas                2   2 (  2 - 0.940 -  11.28) Pennsylvania        15  79 ( 79 - 0.060 -   1.50) 
Game  9:Memphis              1   7 (  7 - 0.928 -  10.20) Oral Roberts        16 106 (106 - 0.072 -   1.88) 
Game 10:Arkansas             8  15 ( 15 - 0.775 -  13.96) Bucknell             9  71 ( 71 - 0.225 -   4.27) 
Game 11:Pittsburgh           5  14 ( 14 - 0.793 -  11.90) Kent State          12  74 ( 74 - 0.207 -   4.55) 
Game 12:Kansas               4   6 (  6 - 0.749 -  10.48) Bradley             13  23 ( 23 - 0.251 -   5.78) 
Game 13:Indiana              6  25 ( 25 - 0.623 -   9.97) San Diego State     11  57 ( 57 - 0.377 -   7.91) 
Game 14:Gonzaga              3  39 ( 39 - 0.518 -   6.74) Xavier-Ohio         14  47 ( 47 - 0.482 -  11.57) 
Game 15:Marquette            7  33 ( 33 - 0.625 -  10.63) Alabama             10  65 ( 65 - 0.375 -   7.49) 
Game 16:UCLA                 2  13 ( 13 - 0.953 -  11.43) Belmont             15 163 (163 - 0.047 -   1.18) 
Game 17:Connecticut          1   3 (  3 - 0.973 -  10.70) Albany-NY           16 137 (137 - 0.027 -   0.70) 
Game 18:Kentucky             8  31 ( 31 - 0.620 -  11.17) UAB                  9  61 ( 61 - 0.380 -   7.21) 
Game 19:Washington           5  12 ( 12 - 0.799 -  11.99) Utah State          12  72 ( 72 - 0.201 -   4.41) 
Game 20:Illinois             4   9 (  9 - 0.771 -  10.79) Air Force           13  50 ( 50 - 0.229 -   5.27) 
Game 21:George Mason        11  27 ( 27 - 0.559 -  11.75) Michigan State       6  41 ( 41 - 0.441 -   7.05) 
Game 22:North Carolina       3   5 (  5 - 0.943 -  12.26) Murray State        14 103 (103 - 0.057 -   1.36) 
Game 23:Wichita State        7  37 ( 37 - 0.652 -  11.08) Seton Hall          10  75 ( 75 - 0.348 -   6.96) 
Game 24:Tennessee            2  17 ( 17 - 0.721 -   8.65) Winthrop            15  60 ( 60 - 0.279 -   6.97) 
Game 25:Villanova            1   4 (  4 - 0.988 -  10.87) Monmouth-NJ         16 189 (189 - 0.012 -   0.31) 
Game 26:Arizona              8  29 ( 29 - 0.531 -   9.55) Wisconsin            9  35 ( 35 - 0.469 -   8.92) 
Game 27:Nevada               5  32 ( 32 - 0.754 -  11.31) Montana             12  95 ( 95 - 0.246 -   5.42) 
Game 28:Boston College       4  19 ( 19 - 0.720 -  10.09) Pacific             13  67 ( 67 - 0.280 -   6.43) 
Game 29:Oklahoma             6  36 ( 36 - 0.607 -   9.71) Wis.-Milwaukee      11  62 ( 62 - 0.393 -   8.26) 
Game 30:Florida              3   8 (  8 - 0.915 -  11.90) South Alabama       14  99 ( 99 - 0.085 -   2.03) 
Game 31:Georgetown           7  18 ( 18 - 0.603 -  10.24) Northern Iowa       10  30 ( 30 - 0.397 -   7.95) 
Game 32:Ohio State           2  10 ( 10 - 0.919 -  11.02) Davidson            15 122 (122 - 0.081 -   2.03) 

Game 33:Duke                 1   1 (  1 - 0.909 -  19.10) George Washington    8  40 ( 40 - 0.053 -   1.48) NC Wilmington        9  53 ( 53 - 0.037 -   1.08) 
Game 34:LSU                  4  11 ( 11 - 0.571 -  13.71) Texas A&M           12  42 ( 42 - 0.175 -   5.61) Syracuse             5  46 ( 46 - 0.165 -   4.11) 
Game 35:Iowa                 3  20 ( 20 - 0.502 -  11.54) West Virginia        6  24 ( 24 - 0.313 -   8.14) Southern Illinois   11  52 ( 52 - 0.153 -   4.76) 
Game 36:Texas                2   2 (  2 - 0.806 -  17.73) NC State            10  21 ( 21 - 0.125 -   3.75) California           7  44 ( 44 - 0.052 -   1.41) 
Game 37:Memphis              1   7 (  7 - 0.649 -  13.62) Arkansas             8  15 ( 15 - 0.300 -   8.40) Bucknell             9  71 ( 71 - 0.039 -   1.13) 
Game 38:Kansas               4   6 (  6 - 0.533 -  12.79) Pittsburgh           5  14 ( 14 - 0.317 -   7.93) Bradley             13  23 ( 23 - 0.118 -   3.89) 
Game 39:Indiana              6  25 ( 25 - 0.358 -   9.30) Gonzaga              3  39 ( 39 - 0.250 -   5.75) Xavier-Ohio         14  47 ( 47 - 0.223 -   7.59) 
Game 40:UCLA                 2  13 ( 13 - 0.670 -  14.74) Marquette            7  33 ( 33 - 0.227 -   6.12) Alabama             10  65 ( 65 - 0.098 -   2.94) 
Game 41:Connecticut          1   3 (  3 - 0.842 -  17.68) Kentucky             8  31 ( 31 - 0.108 -   3.02) UAB                  9  61 ( 61 - 0.046 -   1.33) 
Game 42:Illinois             4   9 (  9 - 0.474 -  11.37) Washington           5  12 ( 12 - 0.405 -  10.11) Air Force           13  50 ( 50 - 0.078 -   2.57) 
Game 43:North Carolina       3   5 (  5 - 0.774 -  17.79) George Mason        11  27 ( 27 - 0.128 -   3.98) Michigan State       6  41 ( 41 - 0.086 -   2.23) 
Game 44:Tennessee            2  17 ( 17 - 0.497 -  10.93) Wichita State        7  37 ( 37 - 0.274 -   7.39) Winthrop            15  60 ( 60 - 0.130 -   4.54) 
Game 45:Villanova            1   4 (  4 - 0.832 -  17.47) Arizona              8  29 ( 29 - 0.093 -   2.61) Wisconsin            9  35 ( 35 - 0.074 -   2.16) 
Game 46:Boston College       4  19 ( 19 - 0.471 -  11.30) Nevada               5  32 ( 32 - 0.351 -   8.79) Pacific             13  67 ( 67 - 0.121 -   3.99) 
Game 47:Florida              3   8 (  8 - 0.733 -  16.87) Oklahoma             6  36 ( 36 - 0.164 -   4.27) Wis.-Milwaukee      11  62 ( 62 - 0.079 -   2.46) 
Game 48:Ohio State           2  10 ( 10 - 0.588 -  12.93) Georgetown           7  18 ( 18 - 0.263 -   7.10) Northern Iowa       10  30 ( 30 - 0.138 -   4.13) 

Game 49:Duke                 1   1 (  1 - 0.771 -  23.89) LSU                  4  11 ( 11 - 0.144 -   4.90) Texas A&M           12  42 ( 42 - 0.023 -   0.95) Syracuse             5  46 ( 46 - 0.021 -   0.72) 
Game 50:Texas                2   2 (  2 - 0.689 -  22.05) Iowa                 3  20 ( 20 - 0.122 -   4.04) NC State            10  21 ( 21 - 0.068 -   2.73) West Virginia        6  24 ( 24 - 0.068 -   2.43) 
Game 51:Memphis              1   7 (  7 - 0.364 -  11.30) Kansas               4   6 (  6 - 0.319 -  10.84) Pittsburgh           5  14 ( 14 - 0.137 -   4.81) Arkansas             8  15 ( 15 - 0.125 -   4.73) 
Game 52:UCLA                 2  13 ( 13 - 0.453 -  14.51) Indiana              6  25 ( 25 - 0.158 -   5.70) Marquette            7  33 ( 33 - 0.117 -   4.32) Gonzaga              3  39 ( 39 - 0.095 -   3.15) 
Game 53:Connecticut          1   3 (  3 - 0.615 -  19.07) Illinois             4   9 (  9 - 0.181 -   6.17) Washington           5  12 ( 12 - 0.135 -   4.73) Kentucky             8  31 ( 31 - 0.037 -   1.42) 
Game 54:North Carolina       3   5 (  5 - 0.615 -  20.30) Tennessee            2  17 ( 17 - 0.175 -   5.59) Wichita State        7  37 ( 37 - 0.066 -   2.44) George Mason        11  27 ( 27 - 0.064 -   2.62) 
Game 55:Villanova            1   4 (  4 - 0.692 -  21.45) Boston College       4  19 ( 19 - 0.130 -   4.41) Nevada               5  32 ( 32 - 0.074 -   2.58) Arizona              8  29 ( 29 - 0.047 -   1.80) 
Game 56:Florida              3   8 (  8 - 0.460 -  15.19) Ohio State           2  10 ( 10 - 0.303 -   9.69) Georgetown           7  18 ( 18 - 0.111 -   4.11) Oklahoma             6  36 ( 36 - 0.056 -   2.01) 

Game 57:Duke                 1   1 (  1 - 0.504 -  20.65) Texas                2   2 (  2 - 0.365 -  15.33) LSU                  4  11 ( 11 - 0.053 -   2.34) Iowa                 3  20 ( 20 - 0.027 -   1.15) NC State            10  21 ( 21 - 0.015 -   0.73) 
Game 58:Memphis              1   7 (  7 - 0.260 -  10.65) Kansas               4   6 (  6 - 0.236 -  10.38) UCLA                 2  13 ( 13 - 0.187 -   7.85) Pittsburgh           5  14 ( 14 - 0.081 -   3.66) Arkansas             8  15 ( 15 - 0.072 -   3.45) 
Game 59:Connecticut          1   3 (  3 - 0.404 -  16.55) North Carolina       3   5 (  5 - 0.333 -  14.32) Illinois             4   9 (  9 - 0.088 -   3.89) Washington           5  12 ( 12 - 0.059 -   2.65) Tennessee            2  17 ( 17 - 0.055 -   2.32) 
Game 60:Villanova            1   4 (  4 - 0.480 -  19.67) Florida              3   8 (  8 - 0.223 -   9.60) Ohio State           2  10 ( 10 - 0.127 -   5.35) Boston College       4  19 ( 19 - 0.051 -   2.23) Georgetown           7  18 ( 18 - 0.037 -   1.75) 

Game 61:Duke                 1   1 (  1 - 0.393 -  20.02) Texas                2   2 (  2 - 0.271 -  14.07) Memphis              1   7 (  7 - 0.090 -   4.57) Kansas               4   6 (  6 - 0.088 -   4.77) UCLA                 2  13 ( 13 - 0.046 -   2.37) LSU                  4  11 ( 11 - 0.026 -   1.41) 
Game 62:Villanova            1   4 (  4 - 0.276 -  14.09) Connecticut          1   3 (  3 - 0.248 -  12.66) North Carolina       3   5 (  5 - 0.188 -   9.98) Florida              3   8 (  8 - 0.101 -   5.37) Ohio State           2  10 ( 10 - 0.049 -   2.56) Illinois             4   9 (  9 - 0.039 -   2.08) 

Game 63:Duke                 1   1 (  1 - 0.264 -  16.10) Texas                2   2 (  2 - 0.169 -  10.45) Villanova            1   4 (  4 - 0.137 -   8.38) Connecticut          1   3 (  3 - 0.125 -   7.66) North Carolina       3   5 (  5 - 0.086 -   5.42) Kansas               4   6 (  6 - 0.042 -   2.70) Memphis              1   7 (  7 - 0.040 -   2.44)



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